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How Likely Is a War With China?

Are the United States and China on a path toward war?

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By Charles Hooper
Published on January 13, 2026

Are the United States and China on a path toward war? In this video, Lt. General Hooper breaks down the real factors shaping the risk of conflict, including why a major war is unlikely in the near term, but tensions will remain high.

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

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